- Hurricane Lee is predicted to strengthen over the subsequent day or two.
- It is too quickly to inform what land areas this hurricane could threaten late this week or subsequent weekend.
- Bermuda, Atlantic Canada and the Northeast U.S. ought to monitor the forecast intently.
- Harmful excessive surf, rip currents and coastal flooding are possible alongside the East Coast this week.
Hurricane Lee will flip northward over the western Atlantic within the week forward and pursuits in Bermuda, Atlantic Canada and probably elements of the Northeast Seaboard ought to proceed to watch the forecast intently.
The hurricane will ship harmful excessive surf and rip currents to the U.S. East Coast no matter the place it tracks over the subsequent a number of days.
Here is the place Lee is now: Hurricane Lee is centered greater than 200 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and is shifting west-northwest.
Wind shear has triggered Lee to weaken from its most energy as a Class 5 late final week.
That wind shear is predicted to lower, which ought to enable Lee to strengthen some over the subsequent couple of days.
Enhanced Satellite tv for pc
(The very best cloud tops, akin to essentially the most vigorous convection, are proven at midnight purple and pink colours. Clustering, deep convection across the heart is an indication of a wholesome tropical cyclone.)
Here’s the place Lee will go the subsequent 5 days: Lee’s heart will proceed to cross effectively north of the northern Leeward Islands, together with Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, over the subsequent day or two.
After that, the forecast turns into extra unsure and can rely on the place Lee ultimately makes a northward flip through the center a part of the week. Lee also needs to start to weaken once more by later this week when it turns northward since it’ll encounter considerably cooler water temperatures, partially induced by Hurricane Franklin and the remnants of Idalia.
(MORE: 12 Issues You Could Not Know About Hurricane Forecasts)
Present Standing And Forecast Path
(The red-shaded space denotes the potential path of the middle of the tropical cyclone. It is vital to notice that impacts (significantly heavy rain, excessive surf, coastal flooding, winds) with any tropical cyclone often unfold past its forecast path.)
The unsure northward flip will decide impacts in Bermuda, Atlantic Canada and probably the Northeast U.S.: Lee is being steered west-northwest by excessive strain to its north proper now. By midweek, a northward flip will likely be induced by a dip within the jet stream sweeping into the japanese U.S.
Exactly the place and when this flip happens is unsure, which results in a bigger unfold in pc mannequin steerage through the latter half of the week.
For now, the developments within the ensemble pc mannequin steerage over the past a number of days recommend the northward flip possible is not going to be sharp sufficient to keep away from all land areas. The hurricane will even develop in measurement which implies impacts may prolong removed from the place its heart tracks.
Bermuda and Atlantic Canada have the best probability of seeing some rain and wind impacts late this week into subsequent weekend. Because the monitor uncertainty stays excessive, we can’t rule out potential rain and wind impacts alongside the Northeast U.S. coast as effectively. Pursuits in all of those areas ought to proceed to watch Lee’s forecast intently.
As with most hurricanes, this forecast is topic to vary. Check again with us at climate.com for the most recent on this, and the 2023 hurricane season.
Dangerous surf, rip currents will happen: One certainty with Lee’s monitor, no matter precisely the place it goes, is that it’s going to generate harmful excessive surf, rip currents, coastal flooding, even seaside erosion alongside the Japanese Seaboard a lot of this week. That is significantly the case from the Southeast U.S. to New England.
Given the storm’s preliminary gradual motion and growing measurement, this coastal flooding will possible happen over a number of days and excessive tide cycles.
Okayeep this in thoughts when you have plans for those who reside close to or plan to move to the Atlantic seashores this week. Keep out of the water, particularly if purple flags are flying on the seaside.
Lee’s Historical past So Far
Lee turned the thirteenth storm of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season Tuesday afternoon and the fourth hurricane of the season late Wednesday afternoon. That was over per week forward of the typical fourth hurricane tempo of Sept. 16, based on Nationwide Hurricane Heart knowledge.
Lee then underwent explosive fast intensification, going from a Class 1 to Class 5 hurricane in simply 18 hours Thursday. Only three other Atlantic hurricanes since 1982 had seen their winds improve by 80 mph in 24 hours or much less since 1982, most just lately Matthew in 2016. It was the quickest 24-hour intensification anyplace within the Atlantic Basin outdoors the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea in 41 years, based on Kieran Bhatia, a Princeton scientist.
Sustained winds of 160 mph had been recorded by hurricane reconnaissance Thursday night, making it the primary Class 5 hurricane since Ian in 2022. Previous to Lee, solely 39 different Atlantic hurricanes have reached Class 5 depth over the previous 100 years.
The Climate Firm’s main journalistic mission is to report on breaking climate information, the atmosphere and the significance of science to our lives. This story doesn’t essentially characterize the place of our mother or father firm, IBM.
